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Example impact of short-term capital gains

The table below shows an example of four investors who start with $100K: A, B, C and D. A holds a passive index fund for 10 years that returns 9%. B and C do the same, but their funds earn 10 and 11% respectively. D earns 11% per year, but actively trades at least once per year. We assume D loses no money to market spread and pays no fees – his only penalty are mandatory short-term capital gains taxes at his normal tax rate of 30%. The others pay the 15% long-term capital gains when they cash out, after 10 years. After all four cashout and pay taxes, they are left with the amount shown in the last row. As you can see D ends up with 18% less that C! You may be surprised to learn that D even nets significantly less than A, despite earning the much better annual return (before taxes).

End of yearABCD, after taxes
1 109 110 111 108
2 119 121 123 116
3 130 133 137 125
4 141 146 152 135
5 154 161 169 145
6 168 177 187 156
7 183 195 208 168
8 199 214 230 181
9 217 236 256 195
10 237 259 284 210
After taxes 216 235 256 210